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Red414
5663159.5
5564111.4
5985186.2
Blue242
3132142.2
6035116.8
7124103.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351236100200300400500600414242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.20.8
167.2168.0
Auto24.9
Teleop140.8
End21.6
red by 44.0
142.21.7
128.9130.6
Auto20.1
Teleop95.7
End31.4
Second
159.55.3
119.4124.6
Auto20.5
Teleop125.1
End15.4
red by 42.7
6035
#15
116.81.5
103.1104.6
Auto14.3
Teleop90.0
End15.5
Third
5564
#29
111.41.5
95.797.3
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End12.9
red by 7.7
7124
#37
103.76.7
102.1108.8
Auto15.6
Teleop79.2
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed