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Red52
711395.4
712899.6
6476124.8
Blue296
5331144.8
6813118.0
4729126.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25429510020040052296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6476
#21
124.81.9
127.0128.9
Auto16.9
Teleop92.0
End20.5
blue by 20.1
144.81.1
128.8130.0
Auto19.7
Teleop108.2
End18.1
Second
7128
#35
99.62.3
95.297.5
Auto15.3
Teleop75.9
End7.1
blue by 27.3
4729
#19
126.93.6
109.2112.8
Auto16.1
Teleop91.2
End26.7
Third
7113
#30
95.41.8
95.897.6
Auto14.2
Teleop73.7
End10.1
blue by 22.6
118.02.1
109.7111.8
Auto16.7
Teleop89.7
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed