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Red440
6579181.6
5333121.9
5331144.8
Blue107
6050114.5
6510148.1
6063103.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347262100150200300400450500440107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.61.6
171.5173.1
Auto20.9
Teleop135.4
End27.2
red by 33.5
148.13.2
140.7143.9
Auto23.2
Teleop109.0
End15.9
Second
144.82.3
133.6135.9
Auto19.7
Teleop108.2
End18.1
red by 30.4
6050
#20
114.52.2
107.5109.8
Auto16.8
Teleop79.5
End16.6
Third
5333
#25
121.91.7
114.8116.5
Auto13.3
Teleop98.9
End10.4
red by 18.2
6063
#16
103.71.1
105.5106.6
Auto17.0
Teleop75.3
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed