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Red387
5564111.4
5584178.6
6575115.6
Blue50
7050101.2
711395.4
6813118.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33222010030040050038750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.65.6
150.5156.1
Auto24.8
Teleop122.2
End33.1
red by 60.6
118.02.4
115.1117.6
Auto16.7
Teleop89.7
End11.3
Second
6575
#17
115.62.4
108.9111.3
Auto16.1
Teleop88.8
End9.9
red by 14.4
7050
#38
101.20.7
105.2104.5
Auto14.9
Teleop82.6
End1.8
Third
5564
#29
111.42.3
103.3105.7
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End12.9
red by 16.0
7113
#30
95.41.0
96.597.5
Auto14.2
Teleop73.7
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed