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Red382
5584178.6
6524119.0
5988120.2
Blue218
712899.6
5663159.5
5333121.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321286150200250350400450500382218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.65.4
161.7167.1
Auto24.8
Teleop122.2
End33.1
red by 19.1
159.54.5
146.6151.0
Auto20.5
Teleop125.1
End15.4
Second
5988
#22
120.20.7
118.5119.1
Auto15.6
Teleop90.6
End14.7
blue by 1.7
5333
#25
121.91.3
119.6120.9
Auto13.3
Teleop98.9
End10.4
Third
6524
#11
119.01.7
113.4115.2
Auto16.2
Teleop91.4
End17.0
red by 19.4
7128
#35
99.61.6
99.3100.9
Auto15.3
Teleop75.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed