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Red279
4802108.8
6509121.0
6083133.8
Blue266
5876101.1
5331144.8
6575115.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287325100200400500600279266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6083
#18
133.81.3
132.0133.3
Auto14.5
Teleop102.0
End19.2
blue by 11.1
144.81.8
140.4142.2
Auto19.7
Teleop108.2
End18.1
Second
6509
#28
121.01.8
118.6120.4
Auto14.6
Teleop83.8
End26.3
red by 5.4
6575
#17
115.60.6
116.2115.6
Auto16.1
Teleop88.8
End9.9
Third
4802
#34
108.80.2
108.4108.6
Auto13.9
Teleop81.0
End12.8
red by 7.7
5876
#31
101.12.1
99.0101.1
Auto15.7
Teleop79.4
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed