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Red189
6024147.7
6083133.8
6525119.4
Blue450
6813118.0
3132142.2
4774136.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290291200250350400450189450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6024
#10
147.70.5
138.8138.3
Auto20.8
Teleop106.0
End20.4
red by 5.5
142.20.2
126.2126.0
Auto20.1
Teleop95.7
End31.4
Second
6083
#18
133.80.9
120.0120.9
Auto14.5
Teleop102.0
End19.2
blue by 2.5
4774
#13
136.31.1
109.7110.8
Auto18.0
Teleop105.9
End11.5
Third
6525
#24
119.49.6
76.285.7
Auto15.5
Teleop90.3
End10.4
red by 1.4
118.040.6
118.477.7
Auto16.7
Teleop89.7
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned