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Red227
5333121.9
7050101.2
6035116.8
Blue435
6476124.8
644990.3
6579181.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2383390100200300400500600227435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5333
#25
121.90.5
120.9121.4
Auto13.3
Teleop98.9
End10.4
blue by 59.7
181.61.7
177.4179.2
Auto20.9
Teleop135.4
End27.2
Second
6035
#15
116.82.2
114.6116.8
Auto14.3
Teleop90.0
End15.5
blue by 8.0
6476
#21
124.80.2
125.0124.8
Auto16.9
Teleop92.0
End20.5
Third
7050
#38
101.20.9
102.0101.2
Auto14.9
Teleop82.6
End1.8
red by 10.9
6449
#26
90.30.7
89.690.3
Auto13.3
Teleop70.5
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed