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Red255
6440107.1
6524119.0
6434134.1
Blue237
5564111.4
4774136.3
6510148.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253326100200300400500600255237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6434
#12
134.11.0
132.2133.3
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End12.4
blue by 14.0
148.12.3
144.9147.1
Auto23.2
Teleop109.0
End15.9
Second
6524
#11
119.02.4
115.2117.5
Auto16.2
Teleop91.4
End17.0
blue by 17.3
4774
#13
136.32.4
133.2135.5
Auto18.0
Teleop105.9
End11.5
Third
6440
#27
107.10.1
107.2107.1
Auto16.8
Teleop83.8
End10.1
blue by 4.2
5564
#29
111.41.5
109.8111.4
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed