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Semifinal 2-12018 South Pacific Regional
Red371
5663159.5
5985186.2
712899.6
Blue166
6510148.1
6579181.6
4802108.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339314150200250400450500550371166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#2
186.20.9
182.8→183.7
Auto24.9
Teleop140.8
End21.6
red by 4.6
6579
#3
181.60.7
180.4→181.1
Auto20.9
Teleop135.4
End27.2
Second
5663
#5
159.51.0
155.8→156.8
Auto20.5
Teleop125.1
End15.4
red by 11.4
6510
#7
148.10.3
147.6→147.9
Auto23.2
Teleop109.0
End15.9
Third
7128
#35
99.60.4
100.8→100.4
Auto15.3
Teleop75.9
End7.1
blue by 9.2
4802
#34
108.80.1
108.6→108.8
Auto13.9
Teleop81.0
End12.8