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Red550
842174.5
254213.8
2403134.3
Blue152
1011171.2
2122176.9
4603137.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401300200500600550152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
213.81.0
211.6212.7
Auto26.4
Teleop148.6
End41.8
red by 36.8
176.90.1
177.4177.3
Auto24.1
Teleop131.7
End19.2
Second
842
#4
174.50.7
173.0173.7
Auto25.2
Teleop125.4
End24.4
red by 3.3
171.20.0
171.5171.5
Auto26.5
Teleop128.5
End12.6
Third
2403
#29
134.30.2
133.8134.0
Auto17.6
Teleop103.8
End12.6
blue by 3.3
4603
#13
137.60.1
138.2138.1
Auto15.9
Teleop107.3
End11.4