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Qual 122018 Arizona North Regional
Red104
6656109.2
1138114.6
58596.0
Blue257
3501139.9
6518128.1
4603137.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271286100200400500600104257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#48
114.611.0
93.6→104.6
Auto15.5
Teleop88.3
End14.7
blue by 25.3
3501
#15
139.98.2
90.1→98.4
Auto16.1
Teleop109.7
End15.3
Second
6656
#51
109.217.5
61.5→79.0
Auto13.6
Teleop85.7
End12.0
blue by 28.4
4603
#13
137.613.6
91.8→105.4
Auto15.9
Teleop107.3
End11.4
Third
585
#55
96.010.5
84.4→94.9
Auto12.8
Teleop81.6
End-1.3
blue by 32.1
6518
#23
128.110.8
87.3→98.1
Auto18.8
Teleop96.7
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed