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Red351
3009128.9
6530134.9
6585121.6
Blue285
1836155.2
6413119.8
3577114.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285294150200250350400450351285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6530
#47
134.911.0
107.7118.6
Auto16.3
Teleop98.8
End20.2
blue by 20.3
155.29.5
102.9112.3
Auto24.8
Teleop108.5
End20.4
Second
3009
#58
128.98.7
96.7105.4
Auto13.5
Teleop102.0
End12.5
red by 9.1
6413
#60
119.86.5
110.1116.6
Auto16.4
Teleop84.7
End18.5
Third
6585
#32
121.614.3
71.385.6
Auto15.4
Teleop97.1
End10.0
red by 6.7
3577
#38
114.912.5
85.798.2
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed