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Red343
2375120.5
1492147.1
3250135.8
Blue214
3853133.6
7214109.7
4146127.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112580100200400500600343214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1492
#14
147.110.3
101.6111.9
Auto17.4
Teleop113.6
End14.8
red by 13.5
3853
#11
133.612.9
80.593.4
Auto17.1
Teleop94.6
End26.8
Second
3250
#37
135.87.9
105.9113.8
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End12.6
red by 7.8
4146
#41
127.915.3
80.696.0
Auto19.2
Teleop94.0
End11.8
Third
2375
#21
120.510.6
98.3108.9
Auto15.8
Teleop91.7
End15.3
red by 10.8
7214
#43
109.711.1
77.788.8
Auto14.3
Teleop82.0
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed