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Qual 282018 Arizona North Regional
Red335
3187110.1
3250135.8
6656109.2
Blue183
751120.7
3309140.5
996115.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246302100200400500335183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#37
135.86.5
113.8→120.3
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End12.6
blue by 4.7
3309
#26
140.50.0
138.2→138.2
Auto19.5
Teleop102.9
End21.3
Second
3187
#39
110.15.8
99.5→105.3
Auto13.4
Teleop85.4
End13.0
blue by 10.7
751
#49
120.75.0
105.5→110.4
Auto14.9
Teleop102.7
End2.9
Third
6656
#51
109.28.6
79.0→87.6
Auto13.6
Teleop85.7
End12.0
blue by 6.4
996
#44
115.68.0
99.8→107.8
Auto15.7
Teleop89.9
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed