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Red352
2637135.0
4183149.1
2840112.7
Blue262
6585121.6
2478144.1
7214109.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102450100200400500600352262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.16.1
128.0134.0
Auto23.4
Teleop109.3
End15.6
red by 5.0
144.13.8
117.0120.7
Auto18.7
Teleop106.5
End20.2
Second
2637
#16
135.03.2
115.7118.9
Auto18.7
Teleop103.9
End13.4
red by 13.4
6585
#32
121.65.6
97.1102.7
Auto15.4
Teleop97.1
End10.0
Third
2840
#22
112.73.7
97.7101.5
Auto14.4
Teleop86.6
End12.7
red by 3.0
7214
#43
109.75.0
96.3101.3
Auto14.3
Teleop82.0
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed