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Red409
254213.8
4603137.6
2840112.7
Blue261
1836155.2
6518128.1
987162.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30231602004006008001,000409261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
213.88.4
148.5156.8
Auto26.4
Teleop148.6
End41.8
red by 51.3
987
#12
162.49.5
136.3145.9
Auto23.8
Teleop114.2
End26.8
Second
4603
#13
137.615.8
76.091.8
Auto15.9
Teleop107.3
End11.4
blue by 17.6
155.214.5
88.4102.9
Auto24.8
Teleop108.5
End20.4
Third
2840
#22
112.717.6
60.377.9
Auto14.4
Teleop86.6
End12.7
blue by 15.4
6518
#23
128.116.4
70.987.3
Auto18.8
Teleop96.7
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed