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Qual 502018 Arizona North Regional
Red116
996115.6
7214109.7
5539111.5
Blue341
1828100.9
648295.2
842174.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278276150200250300116341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
996
#44
115.64.6
110.6→115.1
Auto15.7
Teleop89.9
End9.2
blue by 58.9
842
#4
174.58.0
134.2→142.2
Auto25.2
Teleop125.4
End24.4
Second
5539
#50
111.56.6
104.9→111.5
Auto15.3
Teleop79.3
End15.8
red by 10.6
1828
#54
100.90.8
98.0→98.8
Auto13.8
Teleop83.8
End4.8
Third
7214
#43
109.74.5
101.3→105.8
Auto14.3
Teleop82.0
End15.8
red by 14.4
6482
#52
95.20.5
91.9→92.3
Auto14.4
Teleop74.0
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed