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Red321
668130.5
6127104.1
987162.4
Blue245
3250135.8
4146127.9
1138114.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296300200250350400321245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#12
162.41.8
151.8153.6
Auto23.8
Teleop114.2
End26.8
red by 26.7
3250
#37
135.84.4
132.6137.1
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End12.6
Second
668
#17
130.52.0
118.6120.6
Auto21.1
Teleop102.7
End5.7
red by 2.6
4146
#41
127.94.7
117.7122.4
Auto19.2
Teleop94.0
End11.8
Third
6127
#53
104.12.6
94.897.3
Auto13.5
Teleop85.1
End5.7
blue by 10.6
1138
#48
114.60.3
112.6112.9
Auto15.5
Teleop88.3
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed