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Red161
3577114.9
751120.7
2840112.7
Blue194
4153107.3
2403134.3
1828100.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280275200250300350400161194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
751
#49
120.73.4
113.4116.8
Auto14.9
Teleop102.7
End2.9
blue by 13.6
2403
#29
134.32.4
129.0131.4
Auto17.6
Teleop103.8
End12.6
Second
3577
#38
114.92.4
111.1113.5
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End14.0
red by 7.5
4153
#59
107.30.5
112.9113.4
Auto12.0
Teleop85.5
End6.1
Third
2840
#22
112.73.6
105.5109.1
Auto14.4
Teleop86.6
End12.7
red by 11.8
1828
#54
100.91.8
98.8100.6
Auto13.8
Teleop83.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed