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Red259
842174.5
2437101.6
2637135.0
Blue259
1165117.3
4146127.9
6656109.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172630100200400500259259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#4
174.5
Auto25.2
Teleop125.4
End24.4
red by 46.5
4146
#41
127.9
Auto19.2
Teleop94.0
End11.8
Second
2637
#16
135.0
Auto18.7
Teleop103.9
End13.4
red by 17.7
1165
#45
117.3
Auto15.8
Teleop90.6
End11.1
Third
2437
#46
101.6
Auto15.4
Teleop78.3
End9.9
blue by 7.6
6656
#51
109.2
Auto13.6
Teleop85.7
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed