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Red277
5539111.5
3009128.9
6127104.1
Blue300
3187110.1
2840112.7
2375120.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2622940100200400500277300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#58
128.90.8
127.4128.3
Auto13.5
Teleop102.0
End12.5
red by 8.4
2375
#21
120.50.8
118.4119.3
Auto15.8
Teleop91.7
End15.3
Second
5539
#50
111.51.0
113.1112.1
Auto15.3
Teleop79.3
End15.8
blue by 1.2
2840
#22
112.71.6
109.4111.0
Auto14.4
Teleop86.6
End12.7
Third
6127
#53
104.12.3
100.2102.5
Auto13.5
Teleop85.1
End5.7
blue by 6.0
3187
#39
110.11.9
112.4110.5
Auto13.4
Teleop85.4
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed