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Red338
648295.2
6127104.1
4565148.2
Blue268
3019136.9
498142.2
1836155.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217393100300500600338268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4565
#18
148.24.0
138.9142.9
Auto18.1
Teleop109.2
End25.1
blue by 7.1
155.22.8
152.4155.2
Auto24.8
Teleop108.5
End20.4
Second
6127
#53
104.11.5
102.5104.1
Auto13.5
Teleop85.1
End5.7
blue by 38.2
498
#33
142.22.2
140.0142.2
Auto16.7
Teleop107.4
End17.5
Third
6482
#52
95.21.0
94.295.2
Auto14.4
Teleop74.0
End9.4
blue by 41.6
3019
#34
136.92.6
134.3136.9
Auto15.1
Teleop105.4
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed