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Red168
3785116.6
6931101.8
3250135.8
Blue363
5539111.5
2437101.6
4183149.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276304100200400500168363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#37
135.81.8
137.5135.8
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End12.6
blue by 13.3
149.10.6
147.4148.0
Auto23.4
Teleop109.3
End15.6
Second
3785
#57
116.60.1
116.5116.6
Auto16.2
Teleop81.4
End18.5
red by 5.1
5539
#50
111.50.6
112.1111.5
Auto15.3
Teleop79.3
End15.8
Third
6931
#56
101.82.1
99.7101.8
Auto12.0
Teleop78.6
End14.7
red by 0.2
2437
#46
101.61.1
100.4101.6
Auto15.4
Teleop78.3
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed