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Red456
2478165.0
2403172.1
2840120.8
Blue120
2662127.5
5613123.9
3187111.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions410228100300500600700800456120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.11.0
166.9167.9
Auto23.4
Teleop127.4
End25.8
red by 44.6
2662
#15
127.50.1
127.5127.6
Auto17.0
Teleop102.6
End6.7
Second
165.00.7
161.2161.8
Auto21.5
Teleop120.0
End26.4
red by 41.1
5613
#11
123.90.3
124.5124.2
Auto19.4
Teleop90.2
End12.4
Third
2840
#19
120.80.1
120.0120.1
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End11.4
red by 9.1
3187
#17
111.80.4
111.1111.5
Auto14.8
Teleop80.8
End17.3