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Qual 112018 Arizona West Regional
Red213
3853154.4
6922111.0
637288.5
Blue312
6674114.3
6479151.2
6352156.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277271150200250300350400213312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3853
#6
154.41.3
135.0→136.3
Auto17.6
Teleop114.1
End21.7
blue by 2.0
6352
#7
156.511.4
95.8→107.2
Auto19.6
Teleop119.9
End15.1
Second
6922
#22
111.011.9
77.7→89.7
Auto14.4
Teleop87.5
End9.9
blue by 40.2
6479
#12
151.29.5
94.6→104.1
Auto18.7
Teleop112.0
End18.4
Third
6372
#42
88.58.0
92.4→100.4
Auto12.3
Teleop72.4
End3.8
blue by 25.8
6674
#27
114.38.6
80.3→88.9
Auto17.5
Teleop82.9
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed