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Qual 142018 Arizona West Regional
Red318
2647121.5
1633115.3
1492160.8
Blue121
6871122.9
7214125.6
3187111.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305250100200400500600318121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1492
#4
160.80.3
147.4→147.7
Auto19.3
Teleop121.4
End19.8
red by 35.2
7214
#30
125.62.0
111.7→113.6
Auto16.9
Teleop93.9
End13.5
Second
2647
#14
121.51.5
115.9→114.5
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End7.7
blue by 1.4
6871
#18
122.90.3
118.1→117.7
Auto16.8
Teleop90.1
End16.2
Third
1633
#31
115.310.7
74.8→85.4
Auto13.8
Teleop85.0
End20.1
red by 3.5
3187
#17
111.80.6
109.2→108.5
Auto14.8
Teleop80.8
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed