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Red324
6413109.0
698118.4
2449136.9
Blue303
5200104.5
4111102.9
3853154.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2472910100200400500600324303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.99.0
101.8110.8
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End18.4
blue by 17.5
154.40.5
136.3136.8
Auto17.6
Teleop114.1
End21.7
Second
698
#20
118.40.6
125.5124.9
Auto18.2
Teleop86.4
End11.8
red by 13.9
5200
#29
104.55.7
86.892.5
Auto14.1
Teleop78.6
End10.4
Third
6413
#10
109.03.2
114.7111.5
Auto15.8
Teleop76.7
End16.1
red by 6.1
4111
#23
102.98.6
83.692.2
Auto15.3
Teleop80.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed