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Red180
637288.5
2840120.8
668399.1
Blue284
1492160.8
5200104.5
6922111.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260299100200400500180284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2840
#19
120.81.2
112.7113.9
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End11.4
blue by 40.0
160.80.3
147.1147.4
Auto19.3
Teleop121.4
End19.8
Second
6683
#25
99.118.2
55.173.3
Auto12.8
Teleop74.2
End13.8
blue by 12.0
6922
#22
111.033.3
111.077.7
Auto14.4
Teleop87.5
End9.9
Third
6372
#42
88.515.8
76.792.4
Auto12.3
Teleop72.4
End3.8
blue by 16.0
5200
#29
104.518.0
56.674.7
Auto14.1
Teleop78.6
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed