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Qual 292018 Arizona West Regional
Red369
3853154.4
991147.2
1492160.8
Blue189
1726157.7
2449136.9
2844101.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3422560100200300400500369189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1492
#4
160.80.1
148.4→148.3
Auto19.3
Teleop121.4
End19.8
red by 3.1
1726
#5
157.70.1
145.1→145.2
Auto17.4
Teleop119.3
End24.0
Second
3853
#6
154.41.1
137.5→138.5
Auto17.6
Teleop114.1
End21.7
red by 17.5
2449
#8
136.95.8
116.0→121.8
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End18.4
Third
991
#9
147.22.1
135.8→137.9
Auto17.2
Teleop115.5
End15.5
red by 45.7
2844
#41
101.52.0
100.0→102.1
Auto13.8
Teleop76.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed