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Qual 312018 Arizona West Regional
Red358
4496117.9
2403172.1
2375118.6
Blue159
701794.2
6922111.0
2647121.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932210100400500358159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#1
172.12.9
141.2→144.1
Auto23.4
Teleop127.4
End25.8
red by 50.6
2647
#14
121.50.3
113.4→113.6
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End7.7
Second
2375
#24
118.60.8
118.5→117.7
Auto15.5
Teleop89.9
End13.5
red by 7.5
6922
#22
111.02.3
100.3→102.6
Auto14.4
Teleop87.5
End9.9
Third
4496
#21
117.92.9
105.6→108.5
Auto17.3
Teleop89.7
End8.4
red by 23.7
7017
#38
94.23.5
91.4→94.9
Auto14.5
Teleop82.3
End-1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed