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Red160
7214125.6
668399.1
698118.4
Blue393
1290111.8
2478165.0
6314126.6
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1863450100300400500600160393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7214
#30
125.60.9
116.3117.2
Auto16.9
Teleop93.9
End13.5
blue by 39.4
165.00.9
147.3148.2
Auto21.5
Teleop120.0
End26.4
Second
698
#20
118.41.8
124.1122.3
Auto18.2
Teleop86.4
End11.8
blue by 8.2
6314
#26
126.61.0
133.2132.2
Auto16.6
Teleop101.1
End5.2
Third
6683
#25
99.11.1
87.186.0
Auto12.8
Teleop74.2
End13.8
blue by 12.7
1290
#37
111.81.2
100.7101.9
Auto13.2
Teleop87.8
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed