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Red100
3944105.6
1290111.8
5200104.5
Blue495
3853154.4
1633115.3
7214125.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248295100200400100495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1290
#37
111.83.3
107.2110.5
Auto13.2
Teleop87.8
End9.9
blue by 42.6
154.41.3
140.8142.0
Auto17.6
Teleop114.1
End21.7
Second
3944
#40
105.61.6
103.4105.0
Auto13.3
Teleop75.0
End17.3
blue by 20.0
7214
#30
125.60.8
117.9118.7
Auto16.9
Teleop93.9
End13.5
Third
5200
#29
104.50.4
106.5106.1
Auto14.1
Teleop78.6
End10.4
blue by 10.8
1633
#31
115.30.4
108.7109.1
Auto13.8
Teleop85.0
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
4%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed