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Red150
4111102.9
1290111.8
498148.5
Blue156
6922111.0
313394.5
6314126.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042370100200400500600150156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#28
148.51.7
148.2149.9
Auto17.5
Teleop113.4
End12.4
red by 21.9
6314
#26
126.60.2
129.2128.9
Auto16.6
Teleop101.1
End5.2
Second
1290
#37
111.80.8
111.8112.6
Auto13.2
Teleop87.8
End9.9
red by 0.8
6922
#22
111.00.3
109.3109.7
Auto14.4
Teleop87.5
End9.9
Third
4111
#23
102.90.4
105.1104.7
Auto15.3
Teleop80.8
End3.8
red by 8.4
3133
#36
94.51.7
91.192.7
Auto12.2
Teleop70.4
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed