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Red116
3019126.8
1165114.3
637288.5
Blue276
4111102.9
2375118.6
7214125.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333230100200400500600116276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3019
#35
126.81.1
129.3128.2
Auto16.0
Teleop98.4
End11.6
red by 1.2
7214
#30
125.61.0
122.4123.4
Auto16.9
Teleop93.9
End13.5
Second
1165
#32
114.31.0
116.3115.3
Auto15.7
Teleop87.2
End11.2
blue by 4.2
2375
#24
118.60.3
116.7117.0
Auto15.5
Teleop89.9
End13.5
Third
6372
#42
88.52.1
92.290.1
Auto12.3
Teleop72.4
End3.8
blue by 14.4
4111
#23
102.91.5
104.7103.1
Auto15.3
Teleop80.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed