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Red359
6314126.6
5465102.1
1726157.7
Blue252
3944105.6
498148.5
2449136.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122770100200400500600700800359252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.72.9
151.9154.9
Auto17.4
Teleop119.3
End24.0
red by 9.2
498
#28
148.50.4
150.5150.1
Auto17.5
Teleop113.4
End12.4
Second
6314
#26
126.61.0
128.7127.7
Auto16.6
Teleop101.1
End5.2
blue by 10.3
136.91.5
135.0136.5
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End18.4
Third
5465
#33
102.10.8
102.9102.1
Auto14.8
Teleop82.3
End4.1
blue by 3.5
3944
#40
105.60.7
106.9106.2
Auto13.3
Teleop75.0
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed