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Red407
2478184.5
842207.8
1212121.9
Blue247
2403193.0
4146174.7
2486161.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352353250300400450500407247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#1
207.80.4
207.1207.5
Auto23.2
Teleop168.3
End16.8
red by 14.8
193.00.7
191.8192.5
Auto25.7
Teleop143.0
End25.1
Second
2478
#13
184.50.1
184.2184.3
Auto21.8
Teleop137.8
End25.6
red by 9.8
174.70.7
173.4174.1
Auto17.9
Teleop133.3
End23.5
Third
1212
#10
121.90.2
121.4121.6
Auto13.9
Teleop96.8
End12.5
blue by 39.6
161.50.0
161.6161.6
Auto24.0
Teleop116.4
End18.9