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Red281
1492162.8
6833128.8
6479141.2
Blue434
5059145.8
4146174.7
3187115.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321325200250300350400281434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1492
#18
162.80.3
162.4162.6
Auto20.6
Teleop124.3
End16.1
blue by 11.8
174.71.6
165.3166.9
Auto17.9
Teleop133.3
End23.5
Second
6479
#12
141.21.8
146.3144.5
Auto18.3
Teleop108.0
End15.3
blue by 4.6
5059
#23
145.81.0
146.1145.1
Auto19.8
Teleop107.0
End19.4
Third
6833
#11
128.80.2
128.5128.3
Auto17.7
Teleop96.5
End15.6
red by 13.2
3187
#14
115.70.3
112.9113.2
Auto14.3
Teleop82.5
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsEarned