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Red381
6352154.9
2486161.5
2662131.9
Blue222
701788.7
4183150.8
991142.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3652400100200300400500600381222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.51.7
166.4164.8
Auto24.0
Teleop116.4
End18.9
red by 10.6
4183
#15
150.80.4
151.8151.4
Auto22.4
Teleop115.1
End13.7
Second
6352
#17
154.90.6
155.3154.7
Auto18.9
Teleop121.0
End14.9
red by 12.9
991
#28
142.00.4
144.9144.5
Auto15.8
Teleop110.9
End15.0
Third
2662
#19
131.91.2
128.4129.6
Auto18.7
Teleop107.0
End5.7
red by 43.2
7017
#24
88.70.5
89.989.4
Auto13.6
Teleop76.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed