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Red153
5943116.3
4987108.2
3467125.3
Blue341
2079130.5
190144.4
1474113.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278357100200400500600700153341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#49
125.30.9
129.6130.6
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End6.7
blue by 19.1
190
#27
144.40.0
147.4147.4
Auto18.2
Teleop111.9
End16.2
Second
5943
#59
116.30.5
117.1117.6
Auto16.2
Teleop85.2
End16.9
blue by 14.2
2079
#51
130.51.9
130.8132.7
Auto18.7
Teleop92.6
End17.2
Third
4987
#31
108.21.6
116.1114.5
Auto19.6
Teleop80.2
End8.3
blue by 5.4
1474
#58
113.60.4
115.2115.5
Auto14.9
Teleop86.7
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed