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Qual 242018 BattleCry 19
Red358
6224140.5
4097113.6
5846156.9
Blue204
2084129.4
5459115.0
501119.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331272100200300400500600358204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5846
#15
156.91.0
150.7→151.7
Auto21.7
Teleop118.4
End14.6
red by 27.5
2084
#50
129.40.4
138.0→137.6
Auto17.6
Teleop102.3
End9.7
Second
6224
#19
140.50.5
137.9→137.4
Auto18.4
Teleop112.6
End8.6
red by 21.1
501
#55
119.40.0
125.5→125.4
Auto17.5
Teleop88.0
End13.9
Third
4097
#53
113.60.4
118.1→117.8
Auto13.3
Teleop87.2
End7.8
blue by 1.4
5459
#57
115.00.8
123.3→122.5
Auto13.4
Teleop87.3
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed