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Qual 262018 BattleCry 19
Red415
2168198.2
4041172.8
4048152.7
Blue149
1100172.9
190144.4
172130.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367295100200400500600415149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#37
198.20.3
188.8→188.5
Auto21.4
Teleop162.1
End16.3
red by 25.3
1100
#17
172.90.4
177.1→176.7
Auto22.0
Teleop126.7
End25.3
Second
4041
#4
172.80.3
161.4→161.7
Auto22.1
Teleop126.1
End28.0
red by 28.4
190
#27
144.40.1
147.2→147.1
Auto18.2
Teleop111.9
End16.2
Third
4048
#29
152.70.7
144.9→145.6
Auto19.3
Teleop115.4
End21.5
red by 22.3
172
#30
130.50.4
133.4→133.8
Auto16.5
Teleop98.1
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed