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Qual 362018 BattleCry 19
Red379
885125.6
173147.9
3719122.9
Blue277
126147.9
3236162.7
5943116.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281369100200400500600379277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#34
147.90.6
146.9→147.5
Auto19.0
Teleop113.4
End13.6
blue by 14.8
3236
#9
162.70.8
165.0→164.2
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End21.4
Second
885
#24
125.60.2
123.2→123.0
Auto16.0
Teleop98.6
End13.0
blue by 22.2
126
#33
147.90.1
149.6→149.7
Auto19.7
Teleop107.8
End16.2
Third
3719
#54
122.90.2
121.5→121.3
Auto15.2
Teleop95.0
End13.1
red by 6.6
5943
#59
116.30.3
116.4→116.8
Auto16.2
Teleop85.2
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed78%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed