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Red153
1058153.9
2079130.5
1721161.5
Blue395
1991128.0
4048152.7
138149.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363303100200400500600153395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1721
#28
161.50.5
166.4166.9
Auto18.2
Teleop119.1
End20.5
red by 8.8
4048
#29
152.71.3
145.6146.9
Auto19.3
Teleop115.4
End21.5
Second
1058
#42
153.93.0
168.6165.6
Auto17.0
Teleop117.3
End11.9
red by 4.7
138
#14
149.21.1
149.1148.0
Auto20.2
Teleop114.0
End15.5
Third
2079
#51
130.50.1
134.5134.6
Auto18.7
Teleop92.6
End17.2
red by 2.5
1991
#23
128.00.1
122.5122.6
Auto18.5
Teleop96.4
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed