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Red313
3467125.3
1721161.5
319220.3
Blue260
1100172.9
4176130.2
5421131.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4182680100200300500600313260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#3
220.30.2
218.5218.6
Auto24.6
Teleop159.7
End35.9
red by 47.4
1100
#17
172.91.1
175.5174.4
Auto22.0
Teleop126.7
End25.3
Second
1721
#28
161.51.1
166.9165.8
Auto18.2
Teleop119.1
End20.5
red by 30.4
5421
#16
131.10.6
131.1130.6
Auto16.4
Teleop103.3
End12.0
Third
3467
#49
125.30.7
129.7129.0
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End6.7
blue by 4.9
4176
#41
130.21.3
133.4132.1
Auto15.3
Teleop102.3
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
41%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed