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Red259
2262109.3
1991128.0
1100172.9
Blue280
121139.2
2084129.4
175181.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2933540100200400500600259280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#17
172.90.2
173.5173.3
Auto22.0
Teleop126.7
End25.3
blue by 8.1
175
#20
181.01.0
183.1182.0
Auto19.7
Teleop130.3
End29.2
Second
1991
#23
128.01.5
125.5127.0
Auto18.5
Teleop96.4
End15.0
blue by 11.3
121
#56
139.22.3
143.6141.2
Auto22.4
Teleop104.1
End11.8
Third
2262
#52
109.31.7
112.7110.9
Auto18.2
Teleop83.6
End6.7
blue by 20.1
2084
#50
129.41.6
132.4130.8
Auto17.6
Teleop102.3
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed