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Red452
5459115.0
4041172.8
195239.2
Blue253
4987108.2
2877184.6
1721161.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4032740100200500600452253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
239.20.9
234.5235.4
Auto24.9
Teleop182.2
End33.6
red by 54.5
2877
#18
184.60.5
186.2185.7
Auto23.1
Teleop145.4
End13.9
Second
172.82.4
166.2168.5
Auto22.1
Teleop126.1
End28.0
red by 11.4
1721
#28
161.51.4
164.3162.9
Auto18.2
Teleop119.1
End20.5
Third
5459
#57
115.01.7
117.5115.7
Auto13.4
Teleop87.3
End14.5
red by 6.8
4987
#31
108.20.4
109.3108.8
Auto19.6
Teleop80.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
55%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed