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Red351
166128.0
6224140.5
1058153.9
Blue285
157138.4
2168198.2
885125.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683680100200300400500600351285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#42
153.92.1
156.0153.9
Auto17.0
Teleop117.3
End11.9
blue by 44.3
2168
#37
198.21.7
195.0196.6
Auto21.4
Teleop162.1
End16.3
Second
6224
#19
140.50.5
139.5140.0
Auto18.4
Teleop112.6
End8.6
red by 2.2
157
#11
138.40.9
137.4138.4
Auto18.4
Teleop108.2
End12.5
Third
166
#40
128.00.9
127.1128.0
Auto16.8
Teleop95.0
End13.9
red by 2.4
885
#24
125.61.3
124.3125.6
Auto16.0
Teleop98.6
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed