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Red414
6390161.0
1241195.3
7173106.6
Blue196
7190116.4
4627141.9
5078133.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407261100200300500600414196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.30.6
194.7195.3
Auto23.1
Teleop148.3
End23.4
red by 53.4
141.90.4
141.5141.9
Auto18.7
Teleop105.8
End18.5
Second
161.00.8
160.2161.0
Auto16.9
Teleop118.5
End28.4
red by 27.2
5078
#21
133.80.5
133.3133.8
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End27.7
Third
7173
#19
106.60.5
106.2106.6
Auto16.8
Teleop78.8
End12.9
blue by 9.8
116.40.4
116.0116.4
Auto12.9
Teleop95.7
End9.2