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Red289
2643128.1
6406156.7
7167102.0
Blue288
6364125.2
7169131.6
6458123.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314275100200400500289288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.70.6
154.4154.9
Auto14.5
Teleop124.1
End21.9
red by 25.2
131.60.7
130.3130.9
Auto15.3
Teleop99.9
End17.5
Second
2643
#15
128.10.2
127.0127.3
Auto15.5
Teleop98.6
End17.8
red by 2.9
6364
#22
125.20.1
124.9125.1
Auto13.3
Teleop96.0
End13.5
Third
7167
#17
102.00.3
100.6100.9
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End15.3
blue by 21.7
6458
#12
123.80.0
123.8123.8
Auto17.4
Teleop98.1
End5.8